00:01 John Daub: Hello everybody, welcome to the city of Tokyo. I'm on a bridge right near the Olympic Village on Tokyo Bay, overlooking the entire city. And I'm here for a reason. This is where the Nankai Trough, just out there, I wanted to give you perspective.

00:19 John Daub: There's been an elevated risk of a mega quake to the Japan area as of yesterday. Seismologists and experts in the field came out and scared a whole lot of people, including my wife Kanae and me, and people that are now going to Amazon and other home centers around the country buying emergency goods in case of a mega quake.

00:42 John Daub: This happened just this morning when, as soon as people woke up, everything was sold out on Amazon. I was a little bit surprised how quickly this occurred. But when you hear the word "mega quake," just in English, that sounds freaking scary, right? Mega quake? What is that? That reminds me of Godzilla and Mothra out there fighting. Those are mega monsters. But a mega quake is something that's like magnitude 8 or 9. It's so powerful that it will destroy whatever is nearby. And it doesn't matter where it happens—even if it's not here on the Tokyo Bay, here's the Nankai Trough. Let me just pull this map up and you can get a better idea.

01:30 John Daub: So even this is the Nankai Trough on the left side. In particular, the location right here is suspect. Now Miyazaki is down in the south. It's where that last arrow is on the left side. That's where the magnitude 7.1, Shindo 6 on the scale—which is pretty darn high—occurred yesterday at around 4 p.m. We have friends down in Miyazaki. We got some email messages that they were departing, leaving, fleeing to higher ground away from the shore, and they were okay and were able to return back to their homes. But this quake also sparked a lot of debate amongst the experts—seismologists and volcanists and everybody got together, and they looked at the data and said that yeah, there's an even greater risk right now of a mega quake in this area in particular. And you can see at the top of the corner is Tokyo. Alright, so it just happens that...

02:26 John Daub: Here's the thing, okay. It doesn't matter where it happens on the Nankai Trough—Tokyo is gonna get hit pretty hard. It doesn't matter where it is, because a magnitude 8 or 9, you're gonna get like a magnitude 7 in Tokyo. You're gonna have some destruction there, okay. In particular, we have this Shindo scale, which is the Japanese way to measure earthquakes. If it's a Shindo 7, oh my goodness. Alright, this is tosses you up into the air. I actually have some charts on here. Let me see if I can pull this up. This will give you a pretty good idea of what I'm talking about with the Shindo scale.

03:09 John Daub: The Japan Meteorological Agency has a seismic intensity scale. We don't use magnitude in Japan. We use Shindo. Shindo zero, you're not gonna feel it. Shindo 1, maybe you feel it but you're probably going about your lives. I like the illustrations here. Shindo 2 and Shindo 3—yeah, you start to notice. Look at the eyes change there. People felt by most people in buildings. You might not feel it if you're on the ground or if you're on a bus. Then we get over here to Shindo 4—most people are startled by Shindo 4. I remember I was in a Shindo 5 when I first came to Japan. I came to Chiba in 1998 and I was in a Shindo 5 lower. Many people are frightened and feel the need to hold on to something. I went under the table and everyone laughed at me, but it was a sizeable earthquake in Chiba. Unsecured furniture may move and topple over. This is the intensity of the earthquake—this is maybe a better category to understand earthquakes than magnitude. Now they have a lower and upper. An upper means that it's just more violent. People find that it's difficult to walk. We had a Shindo—this is what we had yesterday in Miyazaki—and this is important for you guys all to understand. We had a 6 lower, right here. So at 6 lower, it is difficult to remain standing. You're going to see why in a second. Many unsecured furniture moves and may topple over. Walls and windows may sustain damage and fall. There's shattering usually in particular older houses and wooden houses with low earthquake resistance. Tiles may fall and what we saw in Niigata was that buildings actually collapsed and you saw plumes of smoke on wide-angle live webcams in the Noto region, which is scary. But guys, it gets worse, alright. Shindo 6 upper: it is impossible to move without crawling.

05:11 John Daub: And this is what I feel—I felt like this is what the Tohoku earthquake was in Tokyo in some parts. It was, it felt like this. Of course the destruction was... you feel like this. It's just... I can't imagine a 6 upper. I've been in one 6 before, up in Tohoku in the past. I lived up in Fukushima years and years ago. Wooden houses with low earthquake resistance at 7 are more likely to lean or collapse. This is what a mega quake is, alright. It's a Shindo 7. And even if it's off of the Nankai Trough, kind of far away from Tokyo, there's a good chance that if it's a mega quake, you're going to get a Shindo 7 in Tokyo, and this is devastating. Wooden houses with high—this is why Tokyo is renovating so many places. Why they got rid of the old Harajuku station. Why they got rid of a lot of the older buildings and making way for more earthquake-resistant buildings. Even in my neighborhood, you're starting to see Chuo ward, a lot of the buildings being destroyed for this. Reinforced concrete buildings with low earthquake resistance are more likely to collapse. That's what I feel. And that's just scary. That's just scary.

06:15 John Daub: They have this information in English for anybody who wants to see it. And as soon as I take this away, you're going to see me zoomed in for a second. Hold on a second. Let me see if I can get rid of this here. It's hot. You can see it on me. Alright, so when a group of scientists come out and tell everybody there's an elevated risk. Now according to the news, it says 70 to 80% risk of a mega quake in the next 20 to 30 years. With an asterisk mark: attention and great scrutiny in the next seven days. So I don't even know what that means, other than scientists are really looking into this, and there's an elevated risk in the next week. And I thought—when I'm seeing the international media, they said 30 years. I'm talking to my wife. Look, you don't have to start taking objects down from shelves right now. You don't have to really start preparing for all of this. She goes... it seems like this is really impacted her. So the Japanese news seems to be emphasizing this a little bit more. Now I'm kind of—I'm American. I see things in a political spectrum. Yeah, maybe they want to get the economy going, get people buying and shopping again. That's certainly happening. But it's also something—when you have a disaster like this, you cannot take it lightly. So now we have a lot of people that are going out to stores and they're... I guess panic buying, and this is what happens when this sort of thing happens. I found this online. Let me see if I can add this here. Things that are like almost sold out on Amazon—you got flashlights, you got batteries, you got whistles, life jackets, starting to go, inflatable rafts, I guess after seeing the tsunami. Bottles of water, long shelf-life foods, mobile batteries, toilet paper. We're starting to see some things becoming sold out that are on this list. This is on Twitter. So this is a lot of information being shared online of things that you probably need—writing pads, messages to leave to loved ones if you go off.

08:15 John Daub: If you take a look at the map, there's an anime on Netflix like "The End of Japan" or something—Japan falls off the world—that anime kind of shows what a megaquake would look like. It's a pretty good indicator of what life would be like. But just an anime. But I watched it and I thought it was really good as entertainment. Having cash is important. A radio—portable batteries are now being sold out. So the economy is booming right now for these kinds of materials.

08:42 John Daub: It's really bright out here. And the phone is dimmed—I wanted to do it live here so you get a sense of what Tokyo looks like. If a megaquake were to happen, there's a good chance that a tsunami would come in here. And if you're thinking about like the movies—Deep Impact—what was it called? That one with Samuel L. Jackson, who is the president? Morgan Freeman as president—or you start to think of these... destruction movies at the end of the 1990s. A space boat makes its way underneath the Rainbow Bridge over there. I mean, you can kind of imagine a big tsunami coming in that's like 50 meters high that destroys... I don't think that's gonna happen, but in a megaquake you really can't tell what's even... maybe more concerning—volcanists are also kind of... they've been telling us for years. Volcanists—there's engineers, seismologists, and volcanists. These three are the ones that are most into the inspections of the tectonic plates and the impact on society. And those are the three categories of scientists that are right now examining the impact of the city of Tokyo. Mount Fuji is in this direction, and it's not that far away. What if Mount Fuji were to erupt? What about Hakone? There's a lot of seismic activity underneath Hakone. This is certainly a possibility. And when you talk about the Nankai Trough and a megaquake, you don't want to be climbing Mount Fuji. So I mean, I don't—this is the Olympic Village, by the way, which is people are starting to settle in there.

10:17 John Daub: I think it's something that you need to be concerned about, and I hope you can catch a little bit of the intensity in my voice in the worry that people in Japan have right now because of the news. I—this is something that you know, you're like, okay, it'll never happen, and then it happens. Or it might never... never happen, but when they elevate the risk—and in Japan, a risk-averse country—you really do worry. That's Daiba over there, by the way. Arthur van de Lee, thank you—it's nice to see you here. Is actually something that needs to be considered.

10:48 John Daub: Let me show you a little bit about this earthquake in Miyazaki, okay? This happened yesterday—off the coast of Miyazaki. I was just there not that long ago. I see whenever you see a 6, it's kinda scary. This is the intensity scale—the seismic intensity scale that I was talking to you about. That's pretty high, and it's pretty close to the shore. So you can see the concern with it, with the tsunami warnings and people getting off the beach. And in light of what happened in Tohoku so many years ago, people are a lot quicker to take this seriously now. Again, Godzilla. I'm reading the comments here. If that helps, get off the beach because of that, then... if that helps you move a little bit quicker, then perhaps you should move a little quicker. I'm not being facetious here. If you do have a warning, please do get to high ground. But I have a video out there on YouTube that lays out what you can do in case of an emergency. Now, the news media also had out here—I got to turn on the volume for this. NHK World in English released some images from the earthquake yesterday after it happened. But they also talked about the elevated mega quake advisory. And the advisory is "as a precaution." But you don't give an advisory, you're as a precaution, and say that and not expect people to kind of panic a little bit, because it is pretty scary.

12:20 John Daub: Now, here's the category. I'm going to put pause right here. If a magnitude 6.8 quake occurs in the area—or like a Shindo 6—they go to step 2. Or a slow slip of tectonic plates—observe both these things. Step 2: The Nankai Trough earthquake extra information investigation begins. Okay. Step 3: Experts review the event—a magnitude plus 7 quake occurs. A slow slip is confirmed. Yes. Step 4: Here. Mega quake advisory issued. So it's kind of a formality based on what they saw. It was a slow slip yesterday, which is so scary because the earthquake seems longer. But it was also a slow slip at a high intensity. A slow slip at a high magnitude is even scarier. And those are long, and those are powerful. And you got to look at it. And a mega quake advisory comes out. And whenever you see the word "mega," it's... I guess, you know what? Perhaps it's better than "giga." I don't know what a giga quake would look like. But let's look at here. Okay. This comes from NHK. The mega quake advisory. And this is the information that we got. They have some graphics here. They broke it down with a chart on the left side. You can see the Nankai Trough more clearly. And the yellow is the impacted estimate, or the estimated area of quake epicenter. So the epicenter. The trough is there. But the epicenter could be anywhere along the coast there. We could see damage all along the coast. So if you're looking where the safest places are, probably going to be Sea of Japan side. But they get quakes as well. So there's no real... for the majority of the country, there's no real safe place. And the mega quake also would impact Kyoto and Osaka to some extent, but Tokyo, certainly. Shizuoka, certainly. Shikoku, certainly. Wakayama, certainly. The agency is calling on people to ensure they are prepared on a daily basis, such as securing furniture in preparation of tremors, making arrangements to confirm the safety of their family members, and confirming locations of evacuation shelters. It also advises households and facilities with individuals who take time to evacuate—elderly people with physical disabilities and children—to consider voluntary evacuation.

14:44 John Daub: The Nankai Trough earthquake is a massive magnitude 8 class temblor that regularly occurs every 100 to 200 years. This is kind of important information. Latest estimates say about 230,000 people would be killed. And about 2.9 million homes destroyed. So we're not messing around here. Okay? I'm not messing around here when we say mega quake. We're talking about a quarter of a million people in estimates. In a country that's prepared for a mega quake as best as any other country in the world. The estimates are a quarter million lives would be lost. So look. There's going to be half the people's brains are going to be "30 years? Much ado about nothing. Stop scaring people." Another part of my brain is saying, "You got to take everything seriously." When they elevate the risks, they're not doing that just to sell stuff and get the economy going. They're doing it because they want you to be prepared. And if you can be a little bit prepared—know where your evacuation centers are, know how to evacuate, know how to react, have helmets and gear—these things, the percentages rise, and in terms of saving lives, the loss of lives goes down. This is a good thing. So that's sort of the meaning of this live stream.

16:02 John Daub: If you're coming here to visit Japan, you already know it should be baked in that you have an elevated chance of being in an earthquake. I don't think a lot of you know that. I don't think a lot of you understand that if you are here, you're going to feel an earthquake. The chances are pretty good if you're here for two weeks that you're going to feel a tremor. A tremor. Something. But as we get closer to the 30 years and this megaquake advisory... The last megaquake in Tokyo was 1923. I believe that that's correct. That's over 100 years ago now. So we're in that gap. But because of the other earthquakes that are happening around—in particular yesterday, which is the same trough—they're predicting a megaquake on this Nankai Trough. It makes sense. The last mega earthquake destroyed Tokyo. 1923. Go check it out. It was the Great Kanto earthquake. It was so bad they had to move Toyosu Market from Nihonbashi to a new location, which is now moved over to right here. Another reason why I'm here. This is where the new fish market is. But in 1923, they moved it from Nihonbashi to Tsukiji. And Tsukiji was there from... 1920, was it 5 or 6, until they moved it here about 6 years ago.

17:20 John Daub: Bottom line is, look, I don't know if you guys can find this book online. This is the Bosai—Tokyo Bosai. They prepared this book. The mascot is a rhino. We—I have this book in my house. Everybody who's a resident of Tokyo got this book. It lists all the places for disaster evacuation, in case you can't get television or radio for some reason. You have this book. And it guides people. And there's enough locals, including me, who have this book, that know where the local evacuation sites are. If you live in Tokyo, you just moved to Tokyo, you're a foreigner from abroad and you're getting settled into your life here—make sure you got this book. If you don't, go to your city hall or your ward office in Tokyo or Osaka and get this book. Explain to them that you want to make sure that you know where your evacuation centers are. They might give you a certificate or something else. But they have this book in English, I believe, in some of the places. This is for Shibuya-ku. So it's very local. Shibuya-ku 1. So this is all very local, not national disaster preparedness book, but local for Tokyo. And every prefecture and every city should have something very similar to this, to let you know where to evacuate and what to do in case there's a mega quake in your neighborhood. Not every prefecture has this—well, we asked, every prefecture has something. Every prefecture has a disaster shelter or area for you to evacuate. It's good to know where that is. It really is. So if you can't find a local, you can't, you're not sure what to do—at least you know where the spot is to go. And if your family is separated and you don't, God forbid this happens, you know where to go. You know where your meeting point is, perhaps at that shelter. So Kanae and I have a meeting point, and if we get separated, we know to go there for some reason. If she's looking for something—if she's looking for me and I'm looking for her, we know where to go. It's just something that if you live in Japan, a lot of people have worked this kind of stuff out. Have a plan organized. It's in Japanese, absolutely. That book is for Tokyo. But Osaka, Kyoto, major urban areas have a plan. They might not have sent it to you, but you can go to your ward offices and get a map. You can at least get information that circles where you should go, and ask them for advice. You got to know the basics. You really do if you come to Japan.

19:50 John Daub: If you're coming here as a tourist, it's not something that you need to worry too much about. But just keep in mind that if a strong one occurs, the hotel—in nine times out of ten, unless they're freaked out and they have staff that's not from Japan—let's just say that you should do your due diligence and look at the evacuation plan of the hotel. Just in case. I do that anyways. It's something that you should probably consider when you come to Japan. The hotel will guide you out in almost all circumstances. If for some reason they're gone, heaven forbid, this is why you need to follow the advice of local people, other people. Understand that the hotel probably has an evacuation—inside your room, at the front desk. And just asking for that is not a bad thing. You might think it's a little bit over the top. It's not. When I jumped under the table in my first earthquake in 1998 and no Japanese did, I went and I talked to a seismologist when I made the episode for Only in Japan about five years ago. And the seismologist told me, "You did the right thing." You just can't predict—because what you think is a weak earthquake from the start turns into a strong earthquake like this. You didn't know that it's... a lot of earthquakes you don't know that it's going to be a powerful one just off of the first tremor. It can build up and up and up and it gains intensity. This is something you really need to understand, because when I made an episode on this... please go back. It has two million views. It's called "Japan's Largest Earthquakes." And I explained to you—I even go to the simulation center, and I explain to you and I show you what it felt like in the simulator to be in a mega quake. You need to see this video to understand how powerful it is. You just can't comprehend if you're coming from New York. If you're coming from London. You can't comprehend how strong this quake is unless you see it.

22:04 John Daub: "Japan's Largest Quakes" is on my main channel, which is youtube.com/onlyinjapan1word. There you go. Some serious stuff. I'm getting a lot of messages here. I really do appreciate this. We're okay. The family's okay. I know you're getting information on this. Miyazaki is quite a long way away. But we didn't feel it in Tokyo. We're okay. I will go live if anything happens like this. I'll secure my family. I'll make sure that everything's okay, and I'll go live and I'm going to talk about what's going on right here. Nikkei has an article: "Japan issues advisory over possible Nankai Trough mega quake." They don't do this lightly. Alright. They don't do this to just instill fear. They do it to help—to get the people prepared—after determination of the three stages of the quake. Those four stages I just showed you. So the experts met yesterday after the quake and made this determination. Japan on Thursday said the possibility of a huge earthquake over a wide swath of central and western parts of the country has increased relative to normal conditions, following a magnitude 7.1 temblor off Miyazaki Prefecture on the southern end of Kyushu earlier in the day. Following the afternoon quake, the Japan Meteorological Agency—often abbreviated as JMA—launched investigations into its possible relationship to Japan. The investigation into the potential Nankai Trough earthquake, which experts have warned for years could cause huge loss of life and property. According to NHK, 230,000 people in a mega quake would lose their lives, despite all the preparedness. They do this kind of release to get the numbers down. And the loss of property would be in the millions. And I think to the economy, $1.5 trillion of damage. The agency issued its Nankai Trough earthquake extra information—for the first time—it's a huge earthquake. First time on Thursday evening. First time, so it feels scary. And accompanying government advisory said that the possibility of a large earthquake is considered to be relatively higher than normal. According to the agency, large earthquakes have taken place every 100 to 150 years in central and western areas of the country. Going back through history, through records, through the logs of temples and shrines—they could piece it together going back millennia, I don't know, maybe a millennium. And they could see when large earthquakes have happened. And they predicted that this trough has produced mega quakes every 100 to 150 years. The last one was 1923, the Great Kanto earthquake, which destroyed Tokyo. The government has previously said that there is a 70% chance of such an earthquake within 30 years. It's been elevated to 80%. I'm seeing reports the probability is multiple times higher than usual after the Miyazaki earthquake. So this earthquake has triggered something that's really making a lot of people scared. And you're waking up to the news now of this advisory here in Tokyo. And people are taking precautions, like going to home centers and getting portable toilets and things like this, just to be careful. Because after a magnitude 7, a Shindo 6—this means something. It's a chain reaction.

25:09 John Daub: So Kishida-san, who's the prime minister, is weighing in on this. The cabinet secretary weighed in on this. Has not received any reports of abnormalities at nuclear plants. Japan uses nuclear power. This is something after 2011, March 11th, that we're very concerned about as well. And the article goes on to talk about how Japan is on the ring of fire, yada yada yada. You know all this stuff. But the entire Nankai Trough is under scrutiny right now. And that Nankai Trough scares me. Because if you look at it, you see that trough is—that one, you see the triangle there? That triangle up there, that's where the Fukushima earthquake happened, on the one above. This is where the plates connect. And the plates are going under each other. They're stressed. They're pushing. And it shakes the whole country. It depends on the worst possible position right here. The Nankai Trough—you see on the left side—that we're in particular is the most concerning right now. Because every 100 to 150 years, that area in that box has a megaquake. And the last time the megaquake was on the top right, that was 1923, the Great Kanto earthquake that devastated the country. The Kanto region, Tokyo in particular—the epicenter very close to Tokyo Bay. I can't even imagine the fear that people's eyes, how wide they must have been, being tossed. If it's a Shindo 7, you're tossed in the air. You cannot stand up.

26:33 John Daub: You're like... my experience in the megaquake—if I go back to... And I do this not to scare you, but so that you are prepared and you take it seriously. Because when it does happen, if you are taking this video seriously, then you are more prepared than 99% of the other tourists that are coming here to Japan. Let me tell you, because I'm telling you as somebody who was in Tokyo during the great Tohoku earthquake. And I was working, editing video for my iTunes channel at the time. And it hit. And right away, I knew there was something that was wrong. My heart started to beat real fast. My cabinet—after about 10 seconds, wine glasses, glasses coming out. The cabinets were open, wine glasses were coming out. It was all glass on my floor. My TV toppled over. I had a 32-inch LCD TV, Sharp Aquos. Very nice TV. Toppled down onto the ground. I was able to pull it back up and watch the TV later. Thank goodness it wasn't damaged. I didn't have a radio. I lost my coffee pot. It was on my desk. That broke. Coffee everywhere. Glass. I ran into the door frame near in the bathroom, because I figured that's the most reinforced area. I was right—when I talked with the seismologist. I did not go outside. The earthquake lasted for over a minute. It was swaying outside. I looked outside of my window. I was on a boat, folks. I'm on the sixth floor back then. I felt like I was on a boat. You have no idea. After the quake subsided, I got my hamster, Kiki. Put him in my pocket here. Outside. Didn't get a bottle of water, nothing. I grabbed Kiki and I went outside. I remember being outside on the streets, in a park, on the asphalt. When the aftershock—after the great Tohoku earthquake happened, that was... that was out on shore, many hundreds of kilometers away. That aftershock—I could not stand up on the aftershock. It felt like I was on a bus. Like, have you ever tried standing up on a bus without holding on to the arm handle? I felt like I was on a bus and I had to sit down with Kiki in my pocket. Kiki, I don't know if you could see. Imagine my fear. But he stayed in that pocket. I had to clean out that pocket. It was loaded with little pellet poo and yellow stains. I had to throw the shirt away. In hindsight, I kind of miss little Kiki. But in hindsight, I couldn't stand up. And then it seemed like every five minutes there was an aftershock. And these aftershocks—if you have structural damage, these aftershocks are even more dangerous because they start to take that structural damage away. They can destroy buildings. They can destroy buildings that are not reinforced, and eventually they will crack. Because if it happens right off the coast of Tokyo on the Nankai Trough, you're going to get a lot of buildings...

29:38 John Daub: In particular, look, it's really amazing. Governor Koike has not taken this lightly. I came here for a reason. This used to be all old buildings, and now they're really large high-rise. These are old factories. This is a place that was built after World War II. A lot of cement stuff here. Now you can see they've knocked it all down. There's a few low-rises there. These are mostly going to be gone, and they're going to come up with new earthquake-resistant buildings in the city of Tokyo. There's a reason why you're seeing all this construction. There's a reason why. Because the prediction of a mega-quake is real, and Tokyo is preparing, and they started with it. It's right after the Great Tohoku Earthquake. They started the renovations of the city of Tokyo, including destroying Harajuku Station, which has a lot of people going through it and not structurally strong enough to withstand it. We've seen a lot of other construction going on around the city of Tokyo. It all has to do—not all of it, but the great majority has to do with this. This is the Olympic Village here. With earthquake preparedness of this mega-quake that everybody predicts is coming—it's just historically it's come, and that earthquake yesterday triggered something. And we don't know what's going to happen, and I'm going to keep you up to date here. I'll go back to my normal life, everyday life. This is what we have to do. Thank you, Donna. Thank you very much. Bosai, love the live streams. There is an app that you can download. I believe it's also in English. Bosai is the name. This is something very important if you're coming to Japan. B-O-S-A-I. Bosai. Bosai is the word that means disaster in Japanese. If you search Bosai on the app stores, you should be able to get—you see that black rhino—or you'll be able to get the evacuation plans for wherever. At least you have a general idea, and the information in there, I think it's good to go over. Just the general information on a megaquake is very good to go over before you come to Japan. Download it. Get YouTube Premium and download it. I used to watch—Ario has noted it. Thank you, Ario. I got YouTube Premium so I could download the videos and I could watch them on the airplane. And what I did was I downloaded a lot of videos wherever I'm going into an area, when I'm on the airplane, and I'll watch them, and when I arrive there, I have a lot of information. I'm not saying that you should download YouTube Premium. I sort of am. But if you change your country to Japan, it's like half price compared to the United States. I don't know if you can do that. But the location in Japan, I get a one-year YouTube membership for $80 or something. And it's been a blessing to have that information.

32:08 John Daub: But when you think about learning Japanese language, really good to do. But also being prepared for the worst. And I looked at it on the news. It's just scary. It's just scary. You look at this and you're like, "Oh my gosh, this isn't Kumamoto." Right? And it's a massive earthquake. And Kumamoto is no stranger to earthquakes. And every time I hear that dun dun, dun dun, you know that sound? It scares the crud out of me. They grab the helmets. They're ready for it. This is where the earthquake was yesterday. Nankai Trough—it's the one that's in Tokyo. The ones that happen up in Tohoku are not the kind—it's a different plate. This one is the same plate as Tokyo. So...

32:56 John Daub: You can understand why we're a little bit concerned here. I watched some video of dash cams. And you can see, if you look at the ones... I don't know if I have it cued up here. The road is going like this in Miyazaki yesterday. Those are massive earthquakes. It probably is more like this. But it doesn't look like that because it's the earth. Alright? And I say this because my memory... I'm scarred for life on what happened in that earthquake. Not just because of the earthquake, but because of the people that we went up to help when we volunteered up in Tohoku. If you're living in Japan in 2010 and 2011, and you were in this area... almost all of my friends went up there to volunteer. And when you did that, you saw the eyes of the people's eyes. And you saw their lives destroyed. And you see what a megaquake can do. And when they do an advisory like this, you do not... you take it seriously. You don't joke around about it. Yeah, 30 years or next week. But if it's heightened more than it was last week because of this earthquake... yeah, it's a good time to be prepared. I have a lot more batteries. I got them at Costco. I got... I'm going to probably get a portable light. Probably get a solar-powered charger so I can keep things charged even without power. Like some basic stuff that you should have in the house. I was actually holding off buying these things because I wanted to make sure that they were the most efficient ones. Because you know, the first and second generations of stuff are not very efficient. But now we're in like the tenth generation of solar panels that are portable. They actually work pretty good. Usually it was the cables that were a problem. But now you can get these portable batteries that will be able to power your refrigerator for... I don't know, like six to ten hours. So if you do have power outages, you'll be able to preserve the food. Open the refrigerator, plug it in for ten minutes, you can keep it cool and be able to eat a little bit longer. Open the refrigerator every 15, 10 hours or something. Because that magnetically sealed refrigerator does a great job of keeping things cold. Have candles. You know what? If you go to Daiso...

35:01 John Daub: This is the last information because I want to take questions from you guys. This is something that we need to think about. And I... I do... I am very... I noticed the comments that I'm getting. If you go to Daiso, which is a 100 yen shop—you can get portable Coby lights. Which are super bright. The battery is inside. It lasts forever. It's charged... hold on a second. I carry this with me everywhere. This bag. In one pocket I have... like in case I just happen to be out and about. Here's this Coby light. It's also magnetic. It also has a stand on here. It's charged with USB-C. See, right there? And it is freaking bright. Let me see. It's hard to see because it's already bright out here. The battery lasts a very long time. You need to have something like this. I have a... I don't today, but quite often I'll put a very small pocket knife in there, in a case, because in case you just don't know if you need it. Something like a really small pocket knife. In case I need to cut rope, or if I'm tangled in something. You just don't know. A magnifying glass—in case you can start a fire with a magnifying glass. Like little things that are easy to carry. I have it usually in my bag there. It's something you really need to think about. Daiso has a pretty good selection. And it's 100 yen to 500 yen. The home centers—these are places where you can find DIY stuff. They usually have the portable toilets. They have the things that are a little bit... next step... that you want if you live here. So... if you live in Japan, it's good to have maybe something for five days. Have a blanket. Have a raincoat. Have a... we have a backpack. And three helmets. And the backpack is at the door. It's right in the cabinet at the door. So as we put our shoes on, we can grab the backpack. Has a portable battery. Has a flashlight. Has a radio. Has a couple of very thin... there's aluminum blankets in there. It's got batteries. It's got some emergency long-shelf-life water. In case the vending machines go out. And the electricity goes out for the vending machines. Do the vending machines still work? Probably not. So this is something that you need to think about. You can't go to the vending machines if there's no power. They're reliant on energy. So... it's good to have a bottle of water with you. I want to order some 10-liter collapsible plastic jugs of water. Because if there's a water truck that comes around, we can go and get some water. Only if you have those jugs. So I'm going to order some of those collapsible water jugs. But a lot of it is sold out on Amazon right now. So hopefully the quake doesn't happen in the next week, so that they can restock stuff.

37:52 John Daub: Any last questions here? So I can make this a little bit more useful for you guys. There's another earthquake. There's an earthquake app called NERV. That's completely in English. Thank you, NSTAR. A flint strike fire starter is a necklace. So it can be worn under the shirt. That's good to know. I'm going to go see what I can find that's convenient and useful. Supposed to come in two days to Tokyo, Osaka, and Kyoto. Look, I think the risk is elevated. I don't think you should cancel your trip. Because if you do, it could happen then. But I think this is what... the news said this. There's an elevated risk of an earthquake. I think the international news didn't harp on this. So I don't know if it's true or not. But the Japanese news, some have said there's a risk in the next 72 hours. So you just need to be prepared. If it's in the next 72 hours and you're on your plane and you're arriving here, I apologize. I say... [inaudible] obviously cannot get to you in time. You can laugh about it now because nothing's happened. But honestly, I don't think that you should cancel your trip to Japan because of this. I think you should come anyways. Just be aware of the safety precautions. And there's no other city in the world that is more prepared for a mega-quake than Tokyo. I have to stress this very much. Whether you're a fan of Governor Koike or not, whether you're a fan of Governor Ishihara or not, both of those governors of Tokyo did a pretty good job of making sure that the city was going to be prepared in case of a mega-earthquake. Since the data was released, Governor Koike has been very, very careful. He's very pro-fix-it-up. What's the word? Let's say pro-earthquake-proofing. And at a great cost to the city, but the cost of this is a lot less than if the quake does happen. And it's better to do it now because we have the technology to do this kind of stuff where we didn't even 10 years ago. So this is all really good stuff. As you see, a space boat making a trip there. And I think that's the ferry going to Ogasawara, if I'm not incorrect. That's going 24 hours to the Pacific Islands. I would feel that mega-quake as well.

40:10 John Daub: But why would you go to a mega-quake? I don't understand your question. Why would you go to any country that has a... look, California's under ring of fire too. I don't know. There's lots of threats and risks in the world right now. The one thing that I learned after 2011 is that you can't predict an earthquake. You can't live your life... all right. Yeah. You can't live your life like that. I chose Japan. A lot of people are like, "Oh, I want to live in Japan. It's such a safe place. I want to live in Tokyo. It's so safe." It is. But then, like, there's something that's bigger. These earthquakes and volcanic eruptions and things like this. It's not something that you have to take lightly. But if you've lived through a mega-quake, and I was on a weaker end of it because I was far away in Tokyo, but still felt the... felt what it was like. The same shock waves I could feel. That were in Fukushima. You felt that same thing in Tokyo, just at a different intensity. It's like a record player. There's grooves in the record player. You never forget that song. It's a feeling instead of an audio thing. After you've lived through it, you live your life a little bit differently. One of the reasons why I love doing YouTube and I have a positive attitude about a lot of stuff is that you don't know when you're going to go. Life is short. You try to enjoy it as much as you possibly can. There's a great feeling in making other people around you happier, so you'll live your life trying to do stuff like that. I want to see smiles. I want to be... every day to be special because you don't know. You see... when I saw the eyes of those people up in Tohoku after the earthquake that had lost loved ones. You see that you can lose everything in an instant. Just like this. And you really do have to, in hindsight... you have to live your life. You have to travel. You have to go to Japan. Do it when you can do it. Go and see the places that you want to go see. Do not hunker down into a bunker. And, you know... stop living your life because of fear. You must go out there and be human and be curious and live your life. And when you... anybody who's lived through this... the vast majority of the people... there's more of like a sense of brotherhood up in Tohoku afterwards of this. People are more... I don't think it's... the word is friendlier. But people are more human. When you lose somebody. When you... when you know people who've lost somebody like this in a mass tragedy, there's a lot of pain. And you feel it. And you take it seriously. And Japan is a safe country for crime, for human problems. But for natural disasters, Japan's on another level. So I say this not to scare you. I say this so you take it seriously. If you do come to Japan, know your escape routes. Come here prepared. Watch some videos on it. Understand a little bit about earthquakes. At the same time, be careful. But at the same time... right. Do you think Tokyo will be greatly affected after the quake? Tokyo will be... after this quake in Miyazaki? Tokyo will be greatly affected in any mega quake that happens on the Nankai Trough. Any quake that happens on the Nankai Trough that's a mega quake will impact Tokyo. It's on the plate that Tokyo is on. This is not the one that was up in Tohoku. This is the Nankai Trough. This is the plate that Tokyo is on. And it's right on the corner. Like right on that spot. Tokyo is going to be impacted, no matter what, if there is a mega quake on that trough. I don't see how it's not impacted with a mega quake. We're talking like a magnitude... a difference between a magnitude 9 and a magnitude 7 is like... it's like gargantuan. It's exponential. Alright. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10. It's like... it rises like this. So the difference between like a 7 and an 8 is pretty huge. Alright. A difference between a 6 and a 7 is pretty huge. It's like... like the intensity. It goes up like that. Alright. So... just... just please understand that. And if you are ready in this video that was 45 minutes long, can make you a little bit more prepared, a little bit more comfortable, maybe save a life or two, I think that this is totally worth it because I'm getting sunburned out here. I'm seriously getting burned out here. I can feel it. I'm going to take off my shirt. I usually... if I wasn't on the video right here, I'd take off my shirt and I'd walk right around without my shirt because we're in kind of like a beach area.

45:09 John Daub: We got the earthquake phone alert yesterday. Kind of freaked me out. Right in the JVlog. Absolutely. It's supposed to freak you out. And it should. Because you are prepared. That sound scares the crud out of me. And I swear they probably tested this on normal people and said, "What scares the most people? This sound." Oh my God. You lose your... fear. It's worse than watching a horror movie. You know, Ju-on, The Ring. That was scary. Blair Witch, very scary. No, this is... I hear that. It's instant fear. Alright. You really shouldn't be getting sunburned at your age. I'll be all right. 45 minutes is okay. That's why I got... I'm kind of like shutting this down here. It looks a little like a sunny day in clouds. It's very sunny.

46:03 John Daub: Thanks so much. Take a look at the live comments. There's some great questions here. Again, for those that are joining us, because these live streams run a little bit longer because I want you to be informed. So for the many people that are here, this is the Nankai Trough. This is the area that has had an elevated increase. I'm learning through the live stream here. Apparently, Japanese TV is now saying there is an elevated risk for a mega quake in the next two to three days. So right now, I'm not in the best spot either, unless I wanted to see something coming. But I am in a high area, actually. There's an elevated risk right now, and Japanese are taking precautions right now. And in light of what happened yesterday in Miyazaki, this mega quake advisory should be taken seriously. And if you're in Japan right now, it's probably a good idea just to review and take what I said and learn from it and make sure that you are prepared. Don't panic. Be prepared. And you're going to be fine. This is why they triggered a mega quake advisory. Just because it was a plus seven and a slow slip. There you go. Again, a magnitude... yesterday they had this in Miyazaki. A Shindo 6. That's right in the center of your screen. That's what they experienced. This is the same trough. This is the same plate as the one in Tokyo. And if you see the one here... and this is why it's very concerning. The location of that plate that hit Miyazaki. The other end of it is Tokyo. Look at the corner right there. That's not a great corner. This is scary. Tokyo is like made in the worst position. They should have put Tokyo where, I don't know, Yonago is on the Sea of Japan side. I love Yonago. Maybe the safest place. Solid earth in Yonago, near Mount Daisen. That's the Mount Fuji of the West. Don't panic. Be prepared. I'll keep you updated. I'm going to be watching the news today as well. And I'll probably do another live stream on this if we get some updates. If not, I'm going to go ahead and live my life. Have some fun tomorrow. And that's what you would expect to do if you're on vacation here. And leave the worrying to me. I'll take care of that and do the research for you. Just thanks so much for subscribing. And I'll see you in another live stream really soon. If there's any updates on this, I'll bring you live as well. Take care everybody.